was the northern Gulf, with refineries near Basra. That, perhaps, still says it all.
Oh dear yes, it was all about the oil. But putting aside this glib playing to the gallery, let’s get it straight about Iraq. The overthrow of Saddam was not an attempt at “putting right the wrongs created by the original meddling”. Saddam certainly made cynical use of the divisions within Iraq, but those divisions weren’t the reason why he had to be removed, or why Iraq had become a Baathist nightmare.
He had to be removed, firstly, because he was possibly the most brutal dictator in the second half of the 20th century. His record against his own people is passed by Pol Pot in Cambodia, but for the long term application of terror there’s no one to beat him except perhaps the two Kims in North Korea. I think it was Kanan Makiya who described living in Iraq as like living inside a migraine. The terror was everywhere. The slightest disparagement of the regime was inevitably followed by a visit by one of Saddam’s secret police organisations. Watching your family being tortured seems to have been a Baathist speciality.
Secondly, after the post-Kuwait sanctions were applied, thousands were dying as a result, not of the sanctions themselves, but of the fact, as we are now discovering, that the Oil-for-food programme was a cynical sham which enabled Saddam to continue to build his palaces and look for ways of acquiring WMDs while gullible journalists proclaimed that the evil West was murdering Iraqi children. Those who loudly protested against intervention were in the main those who were doing very nicely out of this arrangement.
Thirdly, Saddam was no longer a secular opponent of Islam but was seeing himself more and more as a latter-day Saladin, who would lead the Arabs to victory once again over Zionism and the forces of the West. His links with Islamic terrorist groups have been well documented even though he had no direct connection with 9/11. The prospect of Saddam acquiring WMDs – a man who had already invaded two of his neighbouring countries – with the possibility that he might pass them on to terror groups, was not one that any responsible Western political leader could ignore.
So, the failure to comply with the famous UN Resolution provided the justification. This wasn’t enough for some members of the Security Council, and we got some scrambling around for more reasons, and the whole WMD business. [I’d hesitate to call the emphasis on WMDs a mistake until we know more about the role the fellow-Baathists in Syria played. After all Saddam had months of warning that the invasion was going to take place, and he’s not a stupid man.]
We now have two significant groups of commentators. There are some who claim they supported the war, but as it now turns out supported it only as long as no mistakes whatsoever were made by the occupying forces, and a liberal democratic regime was firmly in place within the year. The second group never supported the war, and see it as their duty to emphasise just how badly things are going. The consensus is, whether the intervention was well-intentioned or plain wrong from the start, that we should have learned our lesson and realised that these people are best left alone. When we interfere, we just make matters worse because we’re such blundering fools. A lesson, ah yes, that sophisticated Europeans learned long ago.
My view is that we really didn’t have much choice. This was something that had to be done, not an exercise in Western hubris, We did what was right for the security of the world, and we did what was right for the Iraqi people. Do I think that Iraq will soon be a beacon of hope in the Middle East? I certainly hope so, but “better than Saddam” will do for a start. Do I think we’ll hear no more of demands for Kurdish independence, or demands for an Iranian-style theocracy? Not a chance. But now that we’re here, shouldn’t we all be hoping it turns out well?